Detlof von Winterfeldt
Director, Center for Risk & Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE)
Professor, Industrial and Systems Engineering,Viterbi School of Engineering
Professor, Public Policy and Management, School of Policy, Planning and Development
University of Southern California
Ronald Tutor Hall (RTH)
3710 McClintock Avenue, Room 316A
Los Angeles, California 90089-2902

Tel: 213 740 0898 Fax: 213 821 3926
Email: detlof@aol.com
http://www.usc.edu/create

 


 

 

Books

Recent Articles In Refereed Journals
Book Chapters and Conference Proceedings
Technical Reports/Working Papers

BOOKS AND EDITED VOLUMES

Edwards, W., Miles, R.F., & von Winterfeldt, D. (2007) Advances in Decision Analysis: From foundations to applications.  New York: Cambridge University Press. 

Bier, V. & von Winterfeldt, D.  Terrorism Risk Analysis.  (2007). Special Volume of the Journal Risk Analysis, 27, pp. 503-634.

von Winterfeldt, D. & Edwards, W.  (1986). Decision analysis and behavioral research.  New York: Cambridge University Press.

RECENT ARTICLES IN REFEREED JOURNALS

von Winterfeldt, D. (2008). Structuring problems for decision analysis: concepts, tools, and an example. Submitted to European Journal of Operational Research.

von Winterfeldt, D. Carlson, K.A; Janiszewski, C.; Keeny, R.L; Krantz,D.H.; Kunreuther,H.C; Luce, M.F; Russo J.E; van Osselaer S.M.J. (2008). A Theoretical framework for goal based choice and for prescriptive analysis. Marketing Letters, accepted, subject to revisions.

Kavet, R., Mohan, M., & von Winterfeldt, D.  (2007). A new paradigm for assessing the value of environmental research.  Submitted to Decision Analysis.
                        
Rosoff, H., & von Winterfeldt, D. (2007).  A Risk and Economic Analysis of Dirty Bomb Attacks on the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, Risk Analysis, 27, pp. 533-546.


von Winterfeldt, D., & O’Sullivan, T. (2006).Should We Protect Commercial Airplanes Against Surface-to-Air Missile Attacks by Terrorists? Decision Analysis, 3, 63-75.


Keeney, R., See, K. & and von Winterfeldt, D.(2006). Evaluating interdisciplinary academic programs: applications to U.S graduate decision programs, Operations Research, 17, pp.1-16.


Smith, J.E. and von Winterfeldt, D.  (2004). Decision analysis in management science.  Management Science, 50, pp. 561-574.

von Wnterfeldt,D., Eppel,T., Adams,J., Nutra,R., Delpizzo,V.(2004). Managing potential health risks from electric power lines: A decision analysis caught in controversy. Risk Analysis, 24, pp. 1487-1502.
  

RECENT BOOK CHAPTERS AND CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS

Southwell, C. & von Winterfeldt, D.  A decision analysis of options to rebuild the New Orleans levee system. In Richardson, H., Gordon, P., and Moore, J. (eds.) Risk and economic impacts of hurricane Katrina. London: Elgar (forthcoming)


von Winterfeldt, D. (2007). Defining a decision analytic structure.  In W. Edwards, R.F. Miles, & D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.)  Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications.  New York: Cambridge University Press, pp.81-103.

Keeney, R. and von Winterfeldt, D. (2007). Practical value models.  In W. Edwards, R.F. Miles, & D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.)  Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications.  New York: Cambridge University Press, pp. 232-252.

von Winterfeldt, D. (2007). Choosing a tritium supply for nuclear weapons: A decision analysis caught in controversy.  In W. Edwards, R.F. Miles, & D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.)  Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications.  New York: Cambridge University Press, pp. 514-538.

von Winterfeldt, D. (2006).  “A risk and decision analysis framework to protect New Orleans against another Katrina.” In R. J. Daniels, D. F. Kettl, and H. Kunreuther (Eds.)  On risk and disaster.  Pittsburgh, PA: Pennsylvania State University Press. pp.27-39.

von Winterfeldt, D. (2001).  Decisions with multiple stakeholders and conflicting objectives.  In E. Weber, J. Baron, and G. Loomes (eds.)  Conflict and tradeoffs in decision making.  New York: Cambridge University Press, pp. 259-299.

 

RECENT TECHNICAL REPORTS/WORKING PAPERS

Benthien, M.  And von Winterfeldt, D.  (2001).  Using decision analysis to improve seismic rehabilitation decisions.  Working Paper WP-01-01, Institute for Civic Enterprise, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA.

von Winterfeldt, D., Roselund, N., & Kituse, A.  (2000).  Framing earthquake retrofitting decisions.  PEER Report 2000/3, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Center, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA.